How dangerous was that shot? Get the xG score used by pro analysts — instantly, for free 🌍
xGExpected Goals
0–1Score Range
8+Shot Factors
📢 Advertisement
🎯 Shot Details
📍 Tap pitch to set shot position
👆 Tap anywhere on the pitch to place your shot
18m
Body Part Used
Match Situation
Please set a shot position on the pitch first!
Expected Goals (xG)
0.00
—
—Goal Prob.
—Shot Rating
—Chance Type
📊 Factor Breakdown
🌍 Compare to Pro Benchmarks
Avg Shot (EPL)
0.10
Per shot
Your Shot
—
xG Score
Elite Chance
0.45+
Big chance
📢 Advertisement (300×250)
📖 What is xG in Soccer?
1
Expected Goals (xG) is a metric that measures the quality of a shot. A value of 0.0 means it's almost impossible to score; 1.0 means it's almost certain to go in.
2
Distance & Angle are the two biggest factors. A central shot from 10m has an xG of ~0.35, while a wide-angle 30m shot may be just 0.02.
3
Shot Type & Assist matter too. Headers and weak-foot shots are harder. Cutbacks and through-balls create better positions — xG models account for all of this.
4
Used Globally — xG is now standard in the EPL, La Liga, Bundesliga, MLS and every major league. Clubs like Liverpool and Man City base transfer decisions on xG data.
❓ xG FAQ
What is a good xG per shot in soccer? ▼
The average shot in top leagues like the EPL has an xG of around 0.09–0.12. A shot above 0.30 is considered a big chance. Penalties are typically 0.76 xG. Headers from crosses average around 0.08.
How is xG calculated in real football? ▼
Real xG models are built on hundreds of thousands of historical shots using machine learning. Key variables include shot distance, angle, assist type, body part, game situation, and defender positions. This tool uses a simplified but accurate approximation of these models.
Which soccer teams use xG analytics? ▼
Almost every professional club now uses xG. Liverpool popularized it under Jürgen Klopp. Clubs like Brentford, Brighton, and Ajax built their entire scouting and tactical models around expected goals data.
Does xG work for women's soccer too? ▼
Yes! xG is now tracked in the NWSL, WSL, and other top women's leagues. The model works the same way — shot quality doesn't change based on gender. The USWNT and Lionesses both use xG analytics extensively.
What's the difference between xG and xGOT? ▼
xG (Expected Goals) measures shot quality before the shot. xGOT (Expected Goals on Target) measures the probability of scoring given the ball is on target — it accounts for where exactly in the goal the ball was aimed. Both metrics are used by top clubs for deeper analysis.
Can I use this tool for FIFA or fantasy soccer? ▼
Absolutely! This xG calculator is perfect for understanding shot quality in real matches, FIFA Ultimate Team analysis, fantasy football decisions, or just learning how soccer analytics works. It's built for fans and analysts alike.